由 jpichiban 日本自民党总裁选举即将于9月举行，决定下任日本首相。四股势力将在选举中发挥关键作用。第一股是麻生派，该派系拥有54名议员，并试图确保其成员河野太郎或茂木敏充获得支持。第二股是菅义伟为中心的团体，包括二阶派，他们可能支持石破茂和小泉进次郎。第三股是年轻议员组成的团体，他们希望推举小泉进次郎或小林鹰之。最后是岸田文雄所率领的岸田派，他们可能会推荐林芳正或上川阳子。最终，获胜者将由国会议员投票和党员投票决定。如果第一轮投票没有候选人获得过半数，将进行第二轮投票，届时国会议员投票权重将增加。
Original Title: 四股势力争夺下任日本首相之位？
Summary: The upcoming Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) presidential election in September will determine the next Japanese Prime Minister. Four factions are expected to play key roles in the election. The first is the Aso faction, with 54 members, aiming to secure support for either Taro Kono or Toshimitsu Motegi. The second is the group centered around Yoshihide Suga, including the Nikai faction, which may support Shigeru Ishiba and Shinjiro Koizumi. The third is a group of younger lawmakers seeking to promote either Koizumi or Takayuki Kobayashi. Finally, the Kishida faction, led by Fumio Kishida, may recommend either Yoshimasa Hayashi or Yoko Kamikawa. Ultimately, the winner will be determined by votes from lawmakers and party members. If no candidate receives a majority in the first round, a second round will be held, with increased weight given to the lawmakers’ votes.
Original article: http://cn.nikkei.com/politicsaeconomy/politicsasociety/56440-2024-08-16-10-58-45.html?print=1