由 jpichiban 
本文分析了中国在伊朗报复以色列事件中的态度。文章指出，尽管中国谴责以色列暗杀哈马斯领导人，但中国并不明确支持或反对伊朗进行报复。作者认为，中国明知伊朗报复能力有限，因此不太可能鼓励伊朗采取行动。文章进一步指出，美国对中国进口伊朗石油的制裁在过去几年已经取得了明显效果，中国对伊朗石油的进口量已经大幅下降。因此，美国以石油制裁威胁中国，并不会对中国在伊朗报复事件中的立场产生决定性的影响。作者认为，中国更倾向于保持模糊的态度，即支持伊朗自主做出决定，无论是报复还是不报复。
Original Title: 客座评论：中国鼓励伊朗报复以色列？
Summary: This article analyzes China’s stance on Iran’s retaliation against Israel. It points out that while China condemns the Israeli assassination of the Hamas leader, it does not explicitly support or oppose Iranian retaliation. The author believes that China, knowing Iran’s limited ability to retaliate, is unlikely to encourage Iran to take action. The article further states that US sanctions on China’s imports of Iranian oil have had a significant impact in recent years, with China’s imports of Iranian oil declining sharply. Therefore, US threats of oil sanctions against China will not have a decisive impact on China’s position in the Iranian retaliation incident. The author believes that China is more likely to maintain an ambiguous stance, namely to support Iran’s own decisions, whether to retaliate or not.